



An analysis argues Iran's long-standing strategy of relying on allied militias across Lebanon, Gaza and elsewhere as a forward defense has collapsed over three years of war following the October 7 attacks. The piece traces how Israel's increasingly preemptive posture pushed conflict directly toward Iran's own borders rather than containing it abroad.
With that first line of defense weakened, particularly after Hezbollah was cut off from resupply following the fall of the Assad government in Syria, Iran has instead leaned on its missile and drone arsenal and its geography, including the Strait of Hormuz, as its remaining options. The analysis notes Iran is now the one rushing to defend its allies rather than the reverse.
The full dispatch is available from the source below.