



Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk told the Sejm that intelligence assessments point to a likely escalation of Russian drone and missile attacks against countries supporting Ukraine, particularly Poland, in the coming months. He said strikes could stray into NATO territory under the guise of accidents, potentially testing the alliance's Article 5 commitment without triggering outright war.
Tusk framed the goal as psychological: making the cost of backing Ukraine feel real to European voters while probing NATO's willingness to respond collectively. CNN separately reported that Moscow's hybrid campaign aims to create a sustained sense of looming war without crossing into direct conflict, though a miscalculation remains possible.
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